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	<title>Cell Tower Valuation and Brokerage &#8211; Steel In The Air</title>
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	<link>https://www.steelintheair.com</link>
	<description>Since 2004, Steel in the Air has served over 3,000 clients, reviewed over 10,000 cellular leases and tracked over 2,000 lease buyout offers. We represent private landowners, corporate property owners and public entities in lease negotiations against wireless carriers and tower companies. We also consult on cell site and cell tower valuation and brokerage. Our cell tower and cell site database has grown to encompass over 285,000 cell site locations nationwide.</description>
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	<title>Cell Tower Valuation and Brokerage &#8211; Steel In The Air</title>
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	<item>
		<title>Is Verizon Selling Towers?</title>
		<link>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/is-verizon-selling-towers/</link>
					<comments>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/is-verizon-selling-towers/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ken Schmidt]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Jul 2024 19:32:49 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Valuation and Brokerage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wireless Carriers in the News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wireless Infrastructure Industry Players]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American Tower]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crown Castle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SBA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tower valuation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Verizon]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.steelintheair.com/?p=50705</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Recent news reports have confirmed that Verizon has engaged a third-party advisor to evaluate the sale of its remaining cell towers. Verizon is rumored to be considering the sale of somewhere between 5,000 to 6,000 towers. (Our estimate is 5,500 to 5,600.). Hasn’t Verizon Sold Towers Before? Yes, Verizon or related entities previously sold portfolios [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Recent news reports have confirmed that Verizon has engaged a third-party advisor to evaluate the sale of its remaining cell towers. <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/verizon/">Verizon</a> is rumored to be considering the sale of somewhere between 5,000 to 6,000 towers. (Our estimate is 5,500 to 5,600.).</p>
<h2><strong>Hasn’t Verizon Sold Towers Before?</strong></h2>
<p>Yes, Verizon or related entities previously sold portfolios of towers to public tower companies. These include:</p>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="54">YEAR</td>
<td width="96">ENTITY</td>
<td width="126">BUYER</td>
<td width="138">PURCHASE PRICE</td>
<td width="108"># OF TOWERS</td>
<td width="102">$ PER TOWER</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="54">2015</td>
<td width="96">Verizon</td>
<td width="126">American Tower</td>
<td width="138">$15,000,000,000</td>
<td width="108">11,500</td>
<td width="102">$1,304,347</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="54">2000</td>
<td width="96">Alltel</td>
<td width="126">American Tower</td>
<td width="138">$660,000,000</td>
<td width="108">2,200</td>
<td width="102">$300,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="54">1999</td>
<td width="96">Airtouch</td>
<td width="126">American Tower</td>
<td width="138">$800,000,000</td>
<td width="108">2,100</td>
<td width="102">$380,952</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="54">1999</td>
<td width="96">Bell Atlantic</td>
<td width="126">Crown Castle</td>
<td width="138">$660,000,000</td>
<td width="108">1,460</td>
<td width="102">$452,054</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h2><strong>Why is Verizon Considering Selling Its Cell Towers Now?</strong></h2>
<p>Wireless carriers sell portfolios of towers for a few reasons. First, a wireless carrier may sell their towers to fund future development. Towers are considered non-core assets for wireless carriers. Second, in this case, Verizon is aware of the high valuations on cell tower assets and has decided that this is a good time to sell these non-core assets. Interestingly, 2023 would have been a better year, as towers valuations peaked in the middle of the year.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h2><strong>How Much Are Verizon’s Towers Worth?</strong></h2>
<p>Various analysts have offered estimates of the value of Verizon’s tower assets, ranging from $500,000 per tower to $1,400,000 per tower. The truth is that only Verizon and the advisor really know. When a large portfolio of carrier-owned towers like this is sold, the advisor puts together a confidential information memorandum (CIM) that includes the specific details of the towers. Of these, some details are more critical than others. For a extensive view of how towers are valued, please see our page on <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/cell-tower-valuation-and-brokerage/">Cell Tower Valuation</a>.</p>
<p>Long story short, there are a few key factors that will influence the value of Verizon’s remaining tower assets. These include:</p>
<ol>
<li><strong>Number of tenants</strong>. The more subtenants there are on a tower, the higher the revenue and tower cash flow. The higher the tower’s cash flow, the higher the tower&#8217;s valuation.</li>
<li><strong>Location of Competing Towers</strong>. Are these towers built to accommodate multiple wireless providers, and are they in locations where other wireless carriers are likely to sublease?</li>
<li><strong>The Sale/Leaseback Terms</strong>. Most carrier tower portfolio sales include <a href="https://steeltreepartners.com/understanding-tower-sale-and-leaseback-transactions-with-steeltree-partners/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">a sale and leaseback agreement</a>. The sale/leaseback defines how much Verizon will pay to remain as a tenant on the towers in the future and under what terms. The sale/leaseback lease rate and terms have a significant impact on tower valuation, especially in a carrier sale transaction like this. Will Verizon pay a higher lease rate, which would also generate a higher per tower price? Will Verizon expect to pay for future equipment modifications, or will they look to never have to sign another amendment?</li>
</ol>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h2><strong>How Much Do You Think the Towers Are Worth?</strong></h2>
<p>Without the specific confidential information above, it is hard to reliably place a value on the Verizon tower portfolio. But offhand, we would anticipate that the towers are worth somewhere between $1,000,000 and $1,200,000 per tower. At our estimate of 5,600 towers, that would equate to a market value of $5.6 Billion to $6.7 Billion.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h2><strong>Who is the Likely Buyer?</strong></h2>
<p>The Big 3 tower companies have historically almost always purchased these portfolios.  (American Tower, Crown Castle, and SBA Communications.) Right now, though, it may be hard for those companies to be competitive on offers for this specific portfolio. The public tower companies may be limited in how much they can offer as their stocks are trading at or near their 5-year lows. In contrast, infrastructure funds and private tower companies have completed more tower portfolio acquisitions over the past year. These buyers have consistently bid higher amounts in our competitive bidding offerings. The issue for these sets of buyers is that few of the private buyers have the team and infrastructure in place to acquire and manage a portfolio this large.  Vertical Bridge may be a potential buyer and several infrastructure funds have looked to make larger investments in the sector, although they may need a management team to acquire a portfolio this large.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h2><strong>I Have a Ground Lease Under a Verizon Tower. How Will the Sale Impact Me?</strong></h2>
<p>As this is a sale of towers from a wireless carrier to a tower company, it is unlikely that there will be much impact on landowners who have Verizon tower ground leases. The checks may continue to come from Verizon, or the tower company may take over the payments. Your existing lease will remain in place, and the terms and conditions will be the same. Verizon will continue to use these towers and may even commit to remaining on the towers for a long time under the sale/leaseback.  A tower company may do a slightly better job of marketing the towers for use by other wireless providers, which may increase your rent if you have a revenue share.</p>
<p>The only negative side of a potential sale is that you may have to deal with a tower company in the future regarding lease issues instead of Verizon. Tower companies tend to be more aggressive when dealing with landowners than carriers and can be harder to contact and resolve issues with. Additionally, tower companies tend to be more assertive when trying to <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/cell-tower-lease-renegotiation/">renegotiate cell tower leases</a> or <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/cell-tower-lease-extension-and-renewal/">extend cell tower leases</a> with landowners.  Ultimately, though, Verizon selling its cell towers is generally advantageous to landowners.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h2><strong>What Should I Do Next?</strong></h2>
<p>Our guidance is to wait until a sale is announced and consummated. At that time, the buyer may send out estoppels or other requests. We would recommend not signing anything until you have had your attorney review the request. In the past, some tower companies have tried to send out estoppels that amend the terms of the lease or change its interpretation after buying a carrier portfolio. (An estoppel is intended to confirm existing lease terms, not add new ones.) If you have questions regarding your situation or lease, please contact us.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;"><a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/contact/">Questions About Verizon’s Potential Sale of Its Towers &#8211; CONTACT US.</a></p>
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			</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Early Days of the Cell Tower Lease Buyout Business</title>
		<link>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/the-early-days-of-the-cell-tower-lease-buyout-business/</link>
					<comments>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/the-early-days-of-the-cell-tower-lease-buyout-business/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jan 2023 04:42:58 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Valuation and Brokerage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lease Buyout Companies in the News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lease Buyouts]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.steelintheair.com/?p=32046</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[During my early days in the wireless industry, while employed by a tower company, I worked alongside a site acquisition vendor named Nape Touchstone. Eventually, I ended up forming a company with him to build towers—back in the late 1990s. Nape was a character indeed—someone who had a pithy catchphrase for everything when you asked [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p>During my early days in the wireless industry, while employed by a tower company, I worked alongside a site acquisition vendor named Nape Touchstone. Eventually, I ended up forming a company with him to build towers—back in the late 1990s. Nape was a character indeed—someone who had a pithy catchphrase for everything when you asked him a question. He frequently used phrases like “busier than a one-armed paper hanger,” “sitting in the catbird seat,” and others that I can’t include here. Nape was a good-natured person and a joy to work with and for; unfortunately, I lost track of him about 10 years ago. If you know what ever happened to him, I would love to hear from you.</p>



<p>Back in the late 1990s, Nape was helping a larger tower company “buy out” their cell tower ground leases from landowners. At that time, <strong>the tower company was offering 4-6 years’ worth of rent to buy a 15-year term</strong>. It’s hard to believe these days that the average purchase offer is in the 18–19 year&#8217;s worth of rent range. </p>



<p>Why do I bring this up now? In going through old files, I came across a spreadsheet that had the first 500 leases that one of the early lease buyout companies purchased in the 2002–2007 range. Back then, there wasn’t much competition, and there wasn’t as much “expert” content available on the web (SITA didn’t exist until 2004). So, landowners really didn’t know much about the value of their leases. It was easier and cheaper to purchase leases in those days. </p>



<p>In analyzing those early lease buyout deals, a couple of things caught my eye. First, the average lease buyout purchase price at the time was just over $120,000, and the average lease rate being purchased sat at just under $1500/mo. That meant the company was buying leases <strong>at approximately 7.5 years’ worth of rent.</strong> Notably, the purchase term for those leases was much shorter, at under 19 years.</p>



<p>Contrast this to today’s cell tower lease buyout market:</p>



<figure class="wp-block-table">
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td><strong> </strong></td>
<td><strong>Today</strong></td>
<td><strong>Early 2000&#8217;s</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Term Purchased</strong></td>
<td>50+ Years</td>
<td>Under 18 Years</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Multiples of Annual Rent</strong></td>
<td>Starts at 18x</td>
<td>Averaged 7.5x</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Average Annual Rent Purchased</strong></td>
<td>$35,000</td>
<td>$18,000</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>



<p>Looking back, I can’t help feeling like I did about the tower industry—<em>if only I knew then what I know now</em>. I probably would have purchased a bunch of leases and towers and waited for them to grow in value—and purchased AMT and CCI stocks in October 2002, when they were both under $2 per share!</p>



<p>If you are considering a cell tower lease buyout, please see our helpful content about <a href="https://celltowerleasebuyout.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">cell tower lease buyouts here</a>. </p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
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			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Our 2022 Predictions for the Wireless Industry</title>
		<link>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/2022_wireless_industry_predictions/</link>
					<comments>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/2022_wireless_industry_predictions/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ken Schmidt]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Jan 2022 10:47:31 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower and Cell Site Development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Builds & Wireless Technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Companies in the News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Valuation and Brokerage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Equipment Modifications & Lease Renegotiations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lease Optimization Companies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lease Rates and Lease Valuation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Wireless Telecom Leases]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wireless Carriers in the News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[5G]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American Tower]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AT&T]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capex]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CCI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower and Lease]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cell towers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crown Castle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Equipment Modifications]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SBAC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Small Cells]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[T-Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Verizon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wireless Capex]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.steelintheair.com/?p=28231</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Steel in the Air’s 2022 Predictions for Cell Tower Leasing and Valuation While 2021 certainly impacted many industries negatively, the wireless industry wasn’t one of them. This past year was a particularly strong year for tower companies and landowners. Looking forward into 2022, we see more of the same. Wireless Service Provider Predictions Wireless service [&#8230;]]]></description>
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				<div class="elementor-widget-container">
					<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">Steel in the Air’s 2022 Predictions for Cell Tower Leasing and Valuation</h2>				</div>
				</div>
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									<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">While 2021 certainly impacted many industries negatively, the wireless industry wasn’t one of them. This past year was a particularly strong year for tower companies and landowners. Looking forward into 2022, we see more of the same.</span></p>								</div>
				</div>
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				<div class="elementor-widget-container">
					<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">Wireless Service Provider Predictions</h2>				</div>
				</div>
					</div>
		</div>
					</div>
		</section>
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<ol>
 	<li><strong>Wireless service providers will aggressively continue to deploy new spectrum on existing sites.
</strong>AT&amp;T and Verizon will accelerate their C-Band plans despite the most recent dust-up with the FAA and the airline industry. T-Mobile will complete most of their 2.5GHz overlays for existing T-Mobile sites and their conversions of Sprint “keep” sites. Just this week, AT&amp;T and DISH won nearly 2/3rds (by $ amount) of the spectrum in the 3.45GHz action. This spectrum all needs to be deployed to work. Accordingly, there will be more modifications to existing sites in 2022 than in previous years.</li>
 	<li><b style="color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif;">The Big-Three carriers will continue to build (or start to build) infill sites to fill in gaps in 5G between existing sites. </b><span style="color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );">While all Big-Three carriers have 5G on low-band spectrum, it is nominally better than 4G. Thus, users will start to observe noticeable speed differences when they leave “mid-band” 5G and move into low band 5G.   Because many cell sites were designed originally for 1.9GHz, more will be needed to cover the same area in 2.5GHz or C-Band. We have already heard of elevated “greenfield” build plans for AT&amp;T and Verizon in 2022. Private build-to-suit tower companies will likely be the biggest beneficiary of these infill sites. </span></li>
 	<li><b style="color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif;">DISH will launch its first market around the middle of the year. </b><span style="color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );">We will finally get to see the new network in action. However, some anticipated DISH markets are currently forecast for 2022 will slide into 2023. Building a nationwide network from scratch in a matter of years is difficult, even given the best intentions. Doing it while trying to save money is even harder. We have been involved in network launches, and deploying the first 80% of sites is easy; it is the last 20% that cause the most headache. As the year goes on, tower owners and building owners should expect that DISH will offer more in rent and signing bonuses to launch critical sites and markets.  Simultaneously, DISH capex and opex will measurably rise this year as the number of sites required to build out the market will grow beyond current industry expectations. </span></li>
</ol>
</li>
</ol>								</div>
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					<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">Predictions for Tower Companies</h2>				</div>
				</div>
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<ol start="4">
 	<li><b>The public tower companies (AMT, CCI, SBAC, DBRG) will have their peak year in 2022 in terms of US carrier activity</b><span style="font-weight: 400;">.
With new collocations from infill and DISH and substantially high modification activity, this year should be similar or slightly outpace to 2021 in terms of activity. (Before you run and invest in the tower companies- </span><a href="https://seekingalpha.com/news/3785425-american-tower-crown-castle-stocks-dip-after-jpmorgan-downgrades" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-weight: 400;">some analysts feel that they are already priced at a premium</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">.)  </span></li>
 	<li><b style="color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif;">Tower valuations will remain at or near an all-time high. </b><span style="color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif;">Between low-interest rates, aggressive acquisition strategies by the public tower companies, and new buyers (including international infrastructure funds) entering the field with lower ROI expectations, 2022 should be another banner year for tower owners looking to sell.  </span></li>
 	<li><b style="color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif;">Significantly</b> <b style="color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif;">more Sprint sites will be decommissioned in 2022 than in 2021</b><span style="color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );">. As master lease commitments with the big tower companies start to end, T-Mobile will look to quickly shed the expense of operating two networks. If T-Mobile hasn’t contacted you yet, the probability that they won’t keep your Sprint site increases by the month. </span></li>
</ol>
</li>
</ol>								</div>
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					<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">Predictions for 5G</h2>				</div>
				</div>
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<ol start="7">
 	<li><b></b> <b>2022 will </b><b>not</b><b> be the year of 5G. </b><span style="font-weight: 400;">While we will get mid-band 5G across much of the US from T-Mobile, and to a lesser extent, Verizon and AT&amp;T, there isn’t (and won’t be) a killer application yet. The 5G user experience will be remarkably similar to the 4G experience (only faster) for the consumer. However, venue owners and enterprises should expect a full-on rush by both the carriers and third parties interested in providing private LTE/5G networks in venues using CBRS spectrum (both licensed and unlicensed).  The wireless service providers realize that the money in 5G is not with consumers but with businesses and enterprises seeking better and more secure communications.  Expect the providers to promise the world of 5G, but the actual experience to fall short, at least for now. </span></li>
 	<li><b style="color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif;">On a related 5G note, the carriers will </b><b style="color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif;">not</b><b style="color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif;"> deploy a sizable number of new small cells in 2022. </b>Last year saw limited activity from wireless service providers in the deployment of small cells, which seemed to decline as the year went on. As their focus will be on mid-band modifications, new infill macrocells, and fiber deployment, the wireless service providers will allocate capex in those directions.</li>
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									<ol start="9"><li><b>Landowners will continue to reap the rewards of cell site leases, </b><span style="font-weight: 400;">especially those with </span><a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/cellular-tower-sublease-agreements/"><b>sublease</b> <b>revenue share clauses</b></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">. Given all the bullish activity we have forecasted above, tower owners should see additional revenue.  As they recevied additional revenue, the value of the tower climbs.  As the value of the tower climbs to the owner, the value of the ground lease underneath it typcially climbs as well.  Even if your lease has awhile until expiration, the offers to extend the lease will continue far in advance of expiration.</span></li><li><b></b> <b>Lease optimization companies will continue to pester leaseholders to negotiate lower lease rates and better terms on existing leases </b><span style="font-weight: 400;">despite the boon year for towers. As we observed last year, agents for </span><a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/lease-optimization-companies/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">lease optimization companies</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> will continue to suggest that towers are becoming worthless due to 5G, small cells, <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/will-satellites-replace-cell-towers-unpacking-black-dots-claims/">satellites</a>, balloons, consolidation, and every other reason they can come up with.   Rest assured that your lease is as valuable today as it has been in the past, if not moreso.  For example:</span></li><li><b> </b><a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/cell-tower-lease-buyouts/"><b>Cell tower lease buyout valuations</b></a><b> will remain at an all-time high</b><span style="font-weight: 400;">. With multiple lease buyout entities actively competing for lease assets, sellers stand to benefit once again. Additionally, one of the buyout companies that previously shut its doors will be resurrected this year, which leads to further competition for those limited number of lease assets that are available. However, there may not be as many sellers in 2022, given that many leaseholders sold in late 2021 to avoid the possibility of increased capital gains tax rates in 2022.  </span></li></ol>								</div>
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					<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">Predictions for Steel in the Air</h2>				</div>
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									<p><span style="color: #000000;"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Lastly, at Steel in the Air, </span><b>we look forward to another year of helping landowners and structure owners make data-driven, unbiased, and informed decisions regarding their leases and assets</b><span style="font-weight: 400;">. As we enter our 18</span><span style="font-weight: 400;">th</span><span style="font-weight: 400;"> year, we remain excited and engaged in the wireless industry. We love helping landowners and tower owners maximize their lease and tower assets.  We expect to spend more time with private LTE and private 5G over the next year.  </span></span></p><p><span style="font-weight: 400; color: #000000;">Expect more helpful and thought-provoking content, including more webinars in 2022.  Join us on January 26 at 3pm for our first – a discussion with Bruce Wendt of SteelTree Partners.  Bruce will share his thoughts about tower valuations and the market for towers in 2022.   </span></p><p><span style="color: #000000;"><span style="font-weight: 400;">If you would like to discuss these predictions or need assistance relative to cell site leases or towers, please </span><a style="color: #000000;" href="https://www.steelintheair.com/contact/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">reach out to us</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> or </span><a style="color: #000000;" href="https://questions.steelintheair.com/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">share a question/comment on our Q&amp;A</span></a></span><span style="font-weight: 400;"><span style="color: #000000;">.  Happy to share our thoughts or learn more about what you envision for 2022.</span> </span></p>								</div>
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		<title>What Do 2020 Tower Buyers Look For?</title>
		<link>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/what-do-2020-tower-buyers-look-for/</link>
					<comments>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/what-do-2020-tower-buyers-look-for/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ken Schmidt]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 31 Jan 2020 13:45:50 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Companies in the News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Valuation and Brokerage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wireless Industry Market Dynamics]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.steelintheair.com/Blog/?p=2347</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[During the last half of 2019 and early 2020, SteelTree Partners advised on the sale of several tower portfolios ranging from individual towers to mid-sized private portfolios. Some are traditional carrier led tower builds in highly difficult zoning areas with limited competing structures while some others can be best described as rural, unprotected by zoning, [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>During the last half of 2019 and early 2020, SteelTree Partners advised on the sale of several tower portfolios ranging from individual towers to mid-sized private portfolios. Some are traditional carrier led tower builds in highly difficult zoning areas with limited competing structures while some others can be best described as rural, unprotected by zoning, and subject to stronger than average competitive pressure from existing towers. While all these portfolios ended up selling, in some cases the process yielded comparatively disappointing results at lower than expected pricing.</p>
<p><b>Zoning Protection and No Competing Structures Are Still Essential.</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The lesson we learned is that even with some scarcity of available portfolios, tower company buyers discount the value or outright pass on opportunities that they consider to distressed due to the perceived lack of lease-up potential. While, in general, it is still a seller’s market, the sale of these portfolios demonstrates that buyers are not willing to pay blindly for any tower assets.  However, they continue to overpay for well-located desirable towers as evidenced by some market-setting transactions in early 2020 already. To assist future tower developers in evaluating potential build-to-suit tower opportunities, especially those considering a build-to-relocate tenants off existing towers strategy, we felt that it would be helpful to share some observations about questions intelligent buyers are asking in today’s “new world” environment.</span></p>
<h3>Tower Location</h3>
<p><strong>⚬ Do any local zoning regulations (or other barriers to entry) prevent new towers from being built near the subject towers?</strong><br />
More than at any other time, buyers focus on whether the local zoning regulations would prohibit the placement of another tower near the subject towers.</p>
<p><strong>⚬ Do the subject towers have significant competition from other existing towers?</strong><br />
Due to the willingness of large wireless service providers like AT&amp;T and Verizon to consider relocation to other existing towers, buyers like to know that there are no existing towers near the subject towers that do or will serve a similar purpose. Lack of competing structures combined with difficult zoning regulations improves the odds for future co-location without undue interference from relocation tower providers.</p>
<p><strong>⚬ Why did the developer build the individual towers or the portfolio?</strong><br />
Because some developers are intentionally building towers near other existing towers, buyers try to determine why the towers were built. Were they built for coverage or capacity purposes (or both)?</p>
<p><strong>⚬ Is the portfolio regionalized?</strong><br />
Buyers like to see purpose-built concentrations of towers due to more efficient maintenance, marketing, and operation.</p>
<h3>Tower Tenants</h3>
<p><strong>⚬ Who is the anchor tenant?</strong><br />
Especially for more rural locations, buyers are looking closely at who the anchor (first) tenant is on the tower.</p>
<p><strong>⚬ What is the ratio of broadband to narrowband tenants?</strong><br />
Buyers prefer broadband equivalent tenants, i.e., cellular, government, utilities, and FM and TV broadcasters. Narrowband tenants, such as paging, mobile radio, and WISPs, are not valued as highly primarily because of lower expectations of longevity related to those leases.</p>
<p><strong>⚬ How creditworthy are the tenants on the tower?</strong><br />
Buyers also assess the creditworthiness of the tenant roster to determine longevity and churn risk.</p>
<p><strong>⚬ What is the exposure to possible terminations from proposed or previous mergers?</strong><br />
With the possible Sprint/T-Mobile merger, buyers will examine the exposure to possible terminations due to the merger. Buyers will also look closely at MetroPCS, Cricket, and Clearwire leases for possible termination.</p>
<h3>Tower Tenant Lease Terms</h3>
<p><strong>⚬ What are the rent and escalations?</strong><br />
Older leases tend to have higher escalations. Presently, some developers are accepting lower than normal escalation rates in their leases, which can damage the value of a portfolio.</p>
<p><strong>⚬ Is AT&amp;T on the tower and are they paying above market rent?</strong><br />
On a recent portfolio with a high percentage of rent coming from AT&amp;T high dollar collocation leases, the range of offers was broader than normal as some buyers discounted the multiple applied to AT&amp;T rent to adjust for added risk of having to renegotiate. Because this specific portfolio saw significant zoning protection, some buyers didn’t care.</p>
<p><strong>⚬ Is there a claw back to the anchor tenant if additional tenants co-locate on the tower?</strong><br />
Many newer built-to-suit leases include reductions in rent to the anchor tenant when subsequent co-locators come on the tower. Buyers prefer that there is no claw back clause in the tenant lease.</p>
<p><strong>⚬ Do the tenant leases allow for additional revenue when modifications by the tenant are requested?</strong><br />
Buyers scrutinize the tenant agreements, especially newer leases, with the major carriers and look to avoid the cumbersome terms some developers are conceding to these days.</p>
<p><strong>⚬ What are the general termination rights?</strong><br />
Buyers like to see leases without termination rights vested in the tenant during each term. They do not like to see liberal termination rights. This is especially true if there is no zoning in the area or there are competing structures.</p>
<p><strong>⚬ Are any expenses passed through to the tenant?</strong><br />
While it isn’t that common, buyers prefer that the tenants be responsible for reimbursing the tower owner for some expenses, such as insurance, compound or road maintenance, and taxes.</p>
<h3>Ground Lease Terms</h3>
<p><strong>⚬ Who pays real property taxes on the property?</strong><br />
Some leases require the landowner to pay all taxes, while others do not. Tower buyers prefer that the landowner pay all taxes.<br />
Is there a revenue share clause within the lease agreement?<br />
For obvious reasons, buyers prefer not to share revenue with the landowner. A revenue share provision will devalue the tower.</p>
<p><strong>⚬ Are there prohibitions/restrictions on the sale of the lease to third parties?</strong><br />
This may include a right of first refusal or an outright prohibition on the sale of the lease to third parties. Buyers prefer that the lease contains right of first refusal language.</p>
<p><strong>⚬ Does the landowner need to consent to assignment or subleasing?</strong><br />
Tower companies prefer not to have to go to the landowner for consent to assignment or subleases because landowners generally take time to review requests.</p>
<p><strong>⚬ How much time remains on the lease until final term expiration?</strong><br />
The shorter the remaining term, the more likely the tower owner will incur an increased lease rate at expiration and resultant higher expenses for operating the tower.</p>
<h3>Tower Specifications</h3>
<p><strong>⚬ Do the assets have additional structural capacity?</strong><br />
If the assets do not have sufficient structural capacity for additional co-location or modifications, the buyers will reduce their offers. Buyers like to see recent structural analyses and manufacturer drawings to confirm structural capacity and determine what is needed structurally if further modification work on the tower is required.</p>
<p><strong>⚬ How old are the towers?</strong><br />
Towers with less lease-up over time are more likely to continue to suffer from below-average lease-up in the future.</p>
<p><strong>⚬ How many towers have FAA required lighting?</strong><br />
This isn’t a material issue for buyers, but it does result in slightly lower offers for towers due to the additional expense from monitoring and powering FAA notification lights.</p>
<h3>Intangibles</h3>
<p><strong>⚬ Who is the developer?</strong><br />
Buyers like to work with established developers who have refined their business processes. They also like to work with developers with a known track record for developing good towers.</p>
<p><strong>⚬ How does this portfolio fit into the tower buyer’s general or specific acquisition strategy?</strong><br />
Some buyers look to buy assets that mirror their existing portfolio’s location or growth profile. Others look to fill in their portfolio with more or less mature towers than those in their portfolio so that they have a more rounded portfolio.</p>
<p>Collectively, these factors account for most what tower buyers are looking for in today’s market. Make no mistake, it is a seller’s market and buyers are paying high premiums for good towers. However, the first portfolios of towers built with a relocation strategy are coming to market, and the reception hasn’t been as good as some developers might have hoped. Direct experience leads us to believe that valuations for such assets may not yield much of a profit when compared to more traditional inventory and, therefore, may not be a sustainable business model.<br />
Curious how your portfolio fits into today’s market? We will be attending Connectivity Expo 2020 in Miami this coming May and would welcome the opportunity to meet and talk about your towers. If you aren’t attending, but still want to talk, we are available anytime. Reach out to us here to request a meeting or discussion.</p>
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		<title>Our Wireless Forecasts For 2020</title>
		<link>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/our-wireless-forecasts-for-2020/</link>
					<comments>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/our-wireless-forecasts-for-2020/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ken Schmidt]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Jan 2020 19:01:23 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[5G]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business and Venue Owners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower and Cell Site Development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Companies in the News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Valuation and Brokerage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Counties, Municipalities and Public Entities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Equipment Modifications & Lease Renegotiations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lease Buyout Companies in the News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lease Buyouts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Wireless Telecom Leases]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Private Landowners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Small Cell and DAS Management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Spectrum and Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Subscribers and Data Demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tenant Collocation and Subleasing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wireless Carriers in the News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CBRS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FCC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Small Cells]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sprint]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[T-Mobile Sprint merger]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wireless Capex]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.steelintheair.com/Blog/?p=2327</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[As we do every year around this time, we provide our predictions for what we expect to happen in the upcoming year. Some of our predictions are safe and some are not. Some end up being correct and some aren’t. 1. 5G Continues to Underwhelm Consumers (For Now) . Wireless service providers launched their commercial [&#8230;]]]></description>
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									<span style="font-weight: 400;">As we do every year around this time, we provide our predictions for what we expect to happen in the upcoming year. Some of our predictions are safe and some are not. Some end up being correct and some aren’t.</span>
<h2>1. 5G Continues to Underwhelm Consumers (For Now)</h2>
<p style="text-align: left;">. Wireless service providers launched their commercial 5G networks to a lot of fanfare but not many accolades from the actual users. <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/5g.png"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="alignright wp-image-2332 size-full" src="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/5g.png" alt="5G Continues to Underwhelm Consumers" width="254" height="279" /></a>For wider area low-band networks like T-Mobile’s “nationwide 5G,” users found limited improvement in throughput and latency. For Verizon’s mmWave networks, throughput and latency were dramatically improved but only when there was sufficient 5G coverage. Make no mistake, 5G will eventually be impressive, but not in 2020. Users will start to receive the benefits this year even if they don’t realize it. Just don’t plan on a self-driving car or remote surgery or killer 5G apps, at least not in the next two years. The primary reason for 5G being underwhelming is that none of the WSPs have deployed a robust enough 5G network for the benefits to be realized. We expect 2022 to be the year where 5G reality catches up with 5G promise and market hype.</p>
&nbsp;
<h2>2. However, 5G Development Will Accelerate</h2>
<a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/2.png"><img decoding="async" class="alignright wp-image-2333 size-full" src="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/2.png" alt="5G Development Will Accelerate" width="270" height="233" /></a>Despite the lackluster reception (no pun intended) of 5G by consumers, 5G deployment efforts will accelerate in 2020. Verizon has been aggressively pursuing small cell deployment and launching markets with mmWave. T-Mobile and Sprint will jump both feet first into the deployment of mid-band 5G if the merger trial swings in their favor. If not, T-Mobile will either need to enter a spectrum sharing deal with Sprint and/or DISH or will have to rapidly increase densification and spectrum acquisition to deliver 5G expectations. AT&amp;T will continue to deploy low-band and mmWave 5G unabated.
<h2>3. Some Carrier CapEx Migrates from Macrocells to Small Cells/Fiber.</h2>
<a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/3.png"><img decoding="async" class="alignright wp-image-2334 size-full" src="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/3.png" alt="Some Carrier CapEx Migrates from Macrocells to Small Cells/Fiber" width="266" height="227" /></a>Overall, carrier CapEx will be flat to slightly down this year, while the ratio of CapEx on macrocells/small cells will adjust slightly towards small cells. The macrocell centric push over the last two years was primarily driven by modification activity for 4G and pre-5G, which is now substantially completed as T-Mobile’s 600MHz build and AT&amp;T’s First Net builds approach 75% to 90% complete. The wild card here would be if the courts reject the Sprint/T-Mobile merger – Sprint will need to accelerate 2.5GHz reallocation and Massive MIMO deployment to keep up if a standalone company, sell spectrum or share it, or see if another entity wishes to acquire it. (DISH?)

4. Public Opposition to New Small Cells and Towers Will Be at Its Highest Point Ever.

<a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/4.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignright wp-image-2335 size-full" src="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/4.png" alt="Public Opposition to New Small Cells" width="260" height="241" /></a>We have been tracking news alerts about zoning hearings for towers and small cells for nearly 15 years. We can easily conclude that public opposition is at an all-time peak. The proximity of small cells to homes, neighborhoods, parks, and schools causes a significant concern for citizens (right or wrong), and there are ample outside influencers trying to push the narrative of small cell health risks for reasons other than actual concern over health. Unfortunately, wireless service providers seem intent on pursuing clearly objectionable locations despite the public outcry – a strategy we believe will ultimately be short-sighted and lead to further litigation and delays as cities reject applications to assuage the public despite the possibility of losing in court.
<h2>5. FCC and State Authority Regarding Small Cells Is Rolled Back Further.</h2>
Previous cases related to the FCC’s actions regarding small cells on federally-controlled lands have rolled back FCC authority related to small cells as it <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/18-1129-1801375.pdf">pertains to environmental review</a>. <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/5.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignright wp-image-2337 size-full" src="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/5.png" alt="FCC and State Authority Regarding Small Cells Is Rolled Back Further" width="447" height="279" /></a>Thousands of cities, directly and through state associations, have joined to file suit in the <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/7975192/city-of-portland-v-usa/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">City of Portland v. FCC</a> regarding the FCC’s Declaratory Ruling and Third Report &amp; Order (Accelerating Wireless Broadband Deployment by Removing Barriers to Infrastructure Investment). The FCC’s action limited municipal application fees in most cases to below cost, and attachment fees to municipal property to below market, as well as substantially removing local zoning review authority over small cells. At the state level, there has already been successful litigation that will certainly impact small cell placement in the public right of way. There are currently lawsuits at the state level in some states rejecting the constitutionality of small cell statutes, especially as it pertains to fees. We anticipate that the federal courts will at least, in part, roll back the FCC’s authority in the Third Report. We surmise that the fee component is more at risk for reversal than the removal of zoning authority by municipalities. If the FCC authority is struck down or limited as it pertains to fees, the legality of fee restrictions at the state level will be in question as well but on a state-by-state basis. Relatedly, in 2019, the State of California Supreme Court <a href="https://cases.justia.com/california/supreme-court/2019-s238001.pdf?ts=1554397275" target="_blank" rel="noopener">confirmed the City of San Francisco’s right to review and reject small cell applications on the basis of negative aesthetic impacts to the public right of way</a>.
<h2>6. The Frothy Market for Tower Acquisitions Will Peak.</h2>
While there has been an increase in the number of available tower portfolios, so has the availability of cheap capital looking for a solid investment opportunity in the tower sector. This has led to aggressive bidding on quality tower assets. However, recent offerings that SteelTree Partners has put out have shown some weakening. While some bidders are still very aggressive, we are starting to see some pullback, especially from established tower companies. Simultaneously, more portfolios of lesser quality have and will come on the market as developers who pursued a build to relocation strategy start to attempt to sell their portfolios and find that the market values of these BTR towers differently. A few stalwarts in the tower industry already put up their portfolios at the end of 2019, while some of our brokerage clients who have decent size portfolios have already indicated they will sell in 2020. The net result is that the market will reach its pinnacle this year, although it won’t necessarily decline in the near term from that peak.
<h2>7. The Lease Buyout Market Continues Unabated.</h2>
While the upward direction of valuation of towers may flatten, the lease buyout market for ground leases under towers and rooftop cell site leases will continue, with some buyers continuing to pay aggressive pricing for preferred leases. <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/6.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignright wp-image-2338 size-full" src="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/6.png" alt="The Lease Buyout Market Continues Unabated" width="256" height="183" /></a>By preferred, we mean multiple tenant sites or those anchored by AT&amp;T, T-Mobile, or Verizon. We have observed new groups of buyers emerging that don’t have a lot of wireless experience but who do have family or private equity money. Whether these companies intend to hold a longer term or expect to flip and exit after acquiring a bulk of leases, they are bidding aggressively in an effort to acquire tower leases. Already in 2020, we have been seeing some creativity from buyers as they attempt to distinguish themselves from the pack of callers.
<h2>8. CBRS Interest From Enterprise Entities Increases, But So Do the Questions.</h2>
<a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/7.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignright wp-image-2339 size-full" src="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/7.png" alt="CBRS Interest From Enterprise Entities Increases, But So Do the Questions" width="495" height="237" /></a>OEMs are pushing CBRS private-LTE options on enterprises aggressively as the easiest way to build a wireless network without WSP involvement. It’s hard to go to a conference or a tradeshow without hearing about CBRS. It’s even harder still to find answers about how private CBRS deployments will reliably connect to the WSP core over the long term unless the WSP is on board. Still wondering what prevents a WSP from revoking roaming or access rights or starting to charge for them or simply failing to acknowledge a private CBRS operator at their discretion?								</div>
				</div>
					</div>
		</div>
					</div>
		</section>
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		<title>Seem Like Offers to Buy or Extend Your Cell Tower Lease Are Getting Better?</title>
		<link>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/seem-like-offers-to-buy-or-extend-your-cell-tower-lease-are-getting-better/</link>
					<comments>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/seem-like-offers-to-buy-or-extend-your-cell-tower-lease-are-getting-better/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ken Schmidt]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 31 May 2019 13:34:45 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Companies in the News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Best Practices for Landowners, Government Entities & Venue Owners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Valuation and Brokerage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lease Buyout Companies in the News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lease Buyouts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lease Extensions and Expirations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lease Rates and Lease Valuation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wireless Lease Negotiations & Valuation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American Tower]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crown Castle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lease Buyout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SBAC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tower company]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.steelintheair.com/Blog/?p=2221</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Coupled with low cost of capital and their recent conversions to REITs, tower companies have every incentive to convert leases (long term operating expense) to easements (upfront capital expenditure).  ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2 class="wp-block-heading">It Is Not Your Imagination. The Offers Are Better.</h2>
<p>In just the last week, we have received five separate inquiries from past and potential clients who had recently received a <a href="http://celltowerleasebuyout.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">cell tower lease buyout</a> offer that was noticeably better than ones they had received from the tower company previously. Those who reached out felt that there must be something going on in the industry. They are asking the question, &#8220;Is this related to 5G?&#8221;</p>
<figure class="wp-block-image"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-2232" src="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/phone-1237957_640.jpg" alt="Offers to Buy or Extend Your Cell Tower Lease Are Getting Better" width="640" height="480" /><figcaption>5G Phone Prototype</figcaption></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Yes &#8211; Offers Are Related to 5G</h3>
<p>There is so much hype about 5G out there now &#8211; it is hard to pick up a newspaper or browse the web without seeing multiple articles on what 5G is and what it can be. The investment community has definitely taken notice. We are seeing more new entrants with serious funding ready to purchase leases than we have since 2012-2013. We have been contacted by multiple financial groups who desperately want to &#8220;get in&#8221; on 5G and are seeking our consultation on how to do so. These groups sometimes have more conservative Return On Investment criteria and are willing to make higher offers as a result.</p>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Tower Company Valuations Are Up.</h3>
<p>It doesn&#8217;t hurt that tower company stock prices are up as well. Both American Tower Corporation ($AMT) and SBA Communications ($SBAC) are at all-time highs as of the end of May 2019, and <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/tower-company-profile-crown-castle/">Crown Castle ($CCI)</a> is near its all-time high. When tower company stocks are up, they have more capital to purchase leases. Coupled with the low cost of capital and their recent conversions to REITs, tower companies have every incentive to convert leases (long-term operating expense) to easements (upfront capital expenditure).</p>
<ul class="wp-block-gallery columns-3 is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex">
<li class="blocks-gallery-item">
<figure><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-2230" src="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/American_Tower_Corporation_color_4x3-1-1024x768-1.jpg" alt="Tower Company Valuations Are Up" width="1024" height="768" data-id="2230" data-link="https://www.steelintheair.com/Blog/?attachment_id=2230" /></figure>
</li>
<li class="blocks-gallery-item">
<figure><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-2229" src="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/SBA-Communications-Corporation-logo-3.jpg" alt="Offers to Buy or Extend Your Cell Tower Lease Are Getting Better" width="350" height="250" data-id="2229" data-link="https://www.steelintheair.com/Blog/?attachment_id=2229" /></figure>
</li>
<li class="blocks-gallery-item">
<figure><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-2225" src="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/crown-castle-vector-logo-small-1.png" alt="Tower Company Valuations Are Up" width="280" height="280" data-id="2225" data-link="https://www.steelintheair.com/Blog/?attachment_id=2225" /></figure>
</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Make No Mistake &#8211; It Is A Seller&#8217;s Market.</h3>
<p>As new buyers come into the industry looking to acquire assets (leases or towers), the tower companies are forced to be more aggressive in their offers to purchase or extend their own leases lest they lose the lease to a third party that looks to capitalize on the lease in the future. Tower companies do not want to have to deal with a third-party owner, who is better informed than the landowner in most cases. The net result is that landowners are receiving escalated offers from the tower companies for lease buyouts and for lease extensions. One downside, though, is that the efforts by some of the outside agents who are trying to close these deals are getting more egregious, with some outright lying and suggesting to landowners that towers are going away due to 5G and small cells. (HINT: they wouldn&#8217;t be buying or extending if the towers were going away!)</p>
<p>Landowners now have more options than ever to sell their lease or to extend their lease. Tower companies and third-party lease buyout companies are becoming more creative in their offers. One of the techniques that they use to inflate their offers is to use payments over time. By showing you the overall amount they will pay, they hope that you aren&#8217;t smart enough to understand the time value of money and the additional risk you take on by doing a lease buyout under an installment payment plan. Either way, the offers are getting better, which is encouraging landowners to consider selling or extending. Clients we advised years ago are getting offers that are at or above what we recommended they ask for.</p>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">But It May Not Be The Perfect Storm.</h3>
<p>We previously thought that the market couldn&#8217;t get much better given that interest rates are so low and tower company stocks were high at the time. Candidly, we don&#8217;t know. It remains to be seen whether the new entrants to the market are capable and serious. In Steel in the Air&#8217;s 15 years, we have seen multiple investors look to enter the sector but bow out when they realize how hard it is to scale the acquisition of leases or towers.</p>
<p>There are other factors that could influence offers positively or negatively. Will interest rates climb and cost of capital increase, thereby making it more expensive to buy leases? Will the tower companies continue to be the darling of the stock market as investors chase anything related to 5G? Will Sprint/T-Mobile be able to pull off a merger? If they do, will a fourth wireless carrier enter the market?</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Need Help Deciphering Your Options?</h2>
<p>We can help. We have advised 3,000 clients over the last 15 years with over 4,000 assessments. We track data from thousands of lease buyout and lease extension offers. Our breadth of data allows us to identify trends in the market when they start, not follow them after they have already changed direction.</p>
<p>We can provide consulting services on <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/cell-tower-lease-buyouts/">lease buyouts</a>, and<a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/lease-expirations-and-extensions/">lease extensions/expirations</a>. We can broker your lease(s) or tower(s) to maximize your sale price. We can help you determine whether you should consider selling, consider extending, or simply keep the lease as is for now. Our clients run the gamut from individual landowners to large multi-national corporations to large cities.</p>
<p>We welcome the opportunity to discuss your situation with you further. There is no cost for the initial call, and we do not pitch you services that you do not need. You may be worried about getting added to a mailing list or being called repeatedly if you take us up on our offer of a free initial consultation. Don&#8217;t worry! Just let us know up front and we will make sure you never hear from us unless you want to.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/contact/">Call us for a free initial consultation.</a></h2>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>What Makes Cell Towers Competitive?</title>
		<link>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/what-makes-cell-towers-competitive/</link>
					<comments>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/what-makes-cell-towers-competitive/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ken Schmidt]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jan 2019 14:10:41 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Builds & Wireless Technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Maps and Locations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Valuation and Brokerage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cell tower]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.steelintheair.com/Blog/?p=2092</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Recently, Fierce Wireless ran an article about AT&#38;T’s threat to public tower companies about how “successful” their tower development project with Tillman Infrastructure has been.  The article cites a Morgan Stanley report which claims that “On a national basis in a 0.5-mile radius, ~65% of towers have no competitor and just ~15% have more than [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Recently, Fierce Wireless ran an article about <a href="https://goo.gl/HbYKVr" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AT&amp;T’s threat to public tower companies</a> about how “successful” their tower development project with <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/tillman-infrastructure-tower-company-profile-cell-tower-lease/">Tillman Infrastructure</a> has been.  The article cites a Morgan Stanley report which claims that “On a national basis in a 0.5-mile radius, ~65% of towers have no competitor and just ~15% have more than one competitor. Within a 1-mile radius, ~45% of sites nationally have no competitor and just ~35% have more than one competitor.”</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-49660 size-full" src="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Screen-Shot-2019-01-08-at-15.59.39.png" alt="What Makes Cell Towers Competitive" width="587" height="338" srcset="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Screen-Shot-2019-01-08-at-15.59.39.png 587w, https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Screen-Shot-2019-01-08-at-15.59.39-300x173.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 587px) 100vw, 587px" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>A tower is considered competing when it fulfils the same coverage or capacity goals or both as another nearby tower. Because coverage and capacity goals can vary widely depending upon the terrain, population density and distribution, time of day, difficulty of zoning, and proximity of other <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/buying-property-that-comes-with-a-cell-site-lease/">existing sites</a>, there is no uniform distance where a tower would be considered as competing with another tower. We regularly assist our tower company clients with evaluating prospective acquisitions to determine how many competing towers are present across the portfolio of target towers. A tower is considered competing if it falls within the same search area or search ring as another tower. It’s not hard to see that the AMT and CCI towers in the photo above are competitive.</p>
<p>However, when looking at large numbers of towers, it isn’t feasible to look at each set of towers and we must make assumptions. As a rule of thumb, we tend to use the following distances for urban, suburban, and rural areas- ¼, ½, and 1 mile. In other words, if a tower is located within ¼ mile of another tower in an urban area, it could compete for the same prospective tenant. Of course, there are situations where that distance could be less or greater. For ease of analysis though, we utilize these distances.</p>
<p>For example, we previously completed an analysis of our <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/lease-rates-database/">proprietary tower data</a> for a large hedge fund. Specifically, we examined each of the public tower companies’ tower datasets and compared to our own tower data. We looked separately at each large public tower company’s exposure to competitive towers in urban, suburban, and rural areas based upon multiple radii. We chose to use urban/suburban/rural designations instead of BTAs. While BTAs are used by the public tower companies as a proxy for urban/suburban/rural, we find that is misleading as BTAs can include urban and suburban and sometimes rural sub-areas in the same BTA.</p>
<p>We also examined each public tower company portfolio individually so that we could see which company was better positioned for rural expansion, urban infill and densification, and suburban expansion and densification. We also looked to see on average how many competing towers each tower company’s urban, suburban and rural towers had within a distance where a wireless carrier could choose one or the other tower.</p>
<p>We found that on average the public tower companies have .2 competing towers for each of their towers within ¼ mile, .4 competing towers within ½ mile, and just over 1 competing tower within 1 mile on a nationwide basis.</p>
<p>Please note that this doesn’t directly contradict Morgan Stanley’s findings as our methodology looks at average number of competing towers per tower while theirs appears to look at the number of towers with any competing towers within a given distance.</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-49661 size-full" src="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Screen-Shot-2019-01-08-at-15.59.58.png" alt="What Makes Cell Towers Competitive" width="585" height="353" srcset="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Screen-Shot-2019-01-08-at-15.59.58.png 585w, https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Screen-Shot-2019-01-08-at-15.59.58-300x181.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 585px) 100vw, 585px" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Interestingly, the public tower companies have different levels of exposure to competing towers depending upon whether their towers are in urban/suburban/rural areas with some tower companies having more exposure in rural areas and less in urban areas and vice versa. When you examine how each tower company acquired or built their towers, this stands to reason. SBA chose to acquire towers from other tower companies while Crown Castle and American Tower acquired large chunks of their portfolios from wireless carriers and tower companies.</p>
<blockquote><p><span style="font-size: 18px;"><i><span style="color: #008080;">The tower companies have differing exposure to competing towers depending upon where and how they acquired their towers.</span></i></span></p></blockquote>
<p>Another point of interest is that there are more competing towers within the assumed “competitive” radii than there were 10 years ago across urban, suburban, and rural towers although this is more pronounced in urban areas as should be expected. We examined the number of competing towers in 2007, 2011, and 2017, and found that the number of competing towers had increased between 25% and 50% between 2007 and 2017. This despite more difficult zoning regulations in many areas that would prevent new towers near existing towers.</p>
<p>Our next near-term project will be using this previous analysis to evaluate how many new towers have been proposed or built near existing tower company towers to date- not just by Tillman but by other build-to-relocate (or BTR) developers as well. If you recall from previous articles, some wireless carriers have simply told any tower company that would listen where they would like to move off an existing tower, with the first tower company to have a tower standing being the one they would lease from.</p>
<p>If you are interested in discussing or purchasing any of our findings, <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/contact/">please contact us.</a></p>
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		<title>AT&#038;T Wants to Buy Your Tower! (Well, Not Really)</title>
		<link>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/att-wants-to-buy-your-tower-well-not-really/</link>
					<comments>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/att-wants-to-buy-your-tower-well-not-really/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ken Schmidt]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 28 Sep 2018 21:09:44 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Valuation and Brokerage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lease Optimization Companies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tenant Collocation and Subleasing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wireless Carriers in the News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AT&T]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collocation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Threats]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.steelintheair.com/Blog/?p=2038</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A client of ours owns more than a few cell towers that have AT&#38;T as a collocation tenant.  They recently received this letter, yet another in a long line of letters that threaten the tower owner with some dire consequence if they don&#8217;t renegotiate or sell their tower to AT&#38;T. &#160; In this case, the [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A client of ours owns more than a few cell towers that have AT&amp;T as a <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/tower-collocation-leases/">collocation tenant</a>.  They recently received this letter, yet another in a long line of letters that threaten the tower owner with some dire consequence if they don&#8217;t renegotiate or sell their tower to AT&amp;T.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-49656 size-full" src="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/ATT-Letter-1-1024x505-1.jpg" alt="AT&amp;T Wants to Buy Your Tower" width="1024" height="505" srcset="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/ATT-Letter-1-1024x505-1.jpg 1024w, https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/ATT-Letter-1-1024x505-1-300x148.jpg 300w, https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/ATT-Letter-1-1024x505-1-768x379.jpg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></p>
<p>In this case, the threat is somewhat comical.  &#8220;The sale of your tower to certain parties may result in AT&amp;T sending a non-renewal notice regarding our lease.&#8221;  How is that a threat?   If a tower owner has already sold the tower to a third party, why would they care whether AT&amp;T sends a non-renewal notice?  Perhaps AT&amp;T&#8217;s thought is that if the seller needs to get an estoppel from AT&amp;T regarding its lease to present to the buyer, that AT&amp;T&#8217;s can thwart the sale of the tower by instead sending a notice of non-renewal?</p>
<p>In our experience, most buyers don&#8217;t really care whether a notice of non-renewal is sent, provided that there is enough term remaining before they can choose not to renew or if the tower is located in an area with zoning regulations that prohibit construction of new towers near existing towers.</p>
<p>The other comical part is that AT&amp;T (through its&#8217; financial supplier) is asking for lease information about each tower so that the financial supplier can process the information and make an offer.  Of course, AT&amp;T then also has information about other subleases that the tower owner has on your tower which can be used against the tower owner in future lease negotiations.</p>
<p>If you are inclined to sell your tower, <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/contact/">reach out to us</a> and we can give you a free back of the napkin estimate of the value of the tower.  We won&#8217;t use your information against you and we won&#8217;t threaten you with sending laughable notice&#8217;s of non-renewal in order to get you to sell.  If you aren&#8217;t interested in selling but feel like you need some help in addressing these threats from AT&amp;T, please call us to discuss your situation further.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Weird Revenue Sharing Clause</title>
		<link>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/weird-revenue-sharing-clause/</link>
					<comments>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/weird-revenue-sharing-clause/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ken Schmidt]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Apr 2018 14:41:35 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Best Practices for Landowners, Government Entities & Venue Owners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Valuation and Brokerage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Equipment Modifications & Lease Renegotiations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lease Extensions and Expirations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lease Rates and Lease Valuation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Wireless Telecom Leases]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tenant Collocation and Subleasing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wireless Lease Negotiations & Valuation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cell site lease]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cell tower lease]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lease Renegotiation]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.steelintheair.com/Blog/?p=1895</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[One of our clients received a proposal from a tower company that included a revenue share clause. Generally, revenue shares are not proposed by wireless carriers and even less so by tower companies. However, because our client is a governmental entity, I assume the tower company figured it would be better to put a revenue [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>
	<img loading="lazy" decoding="async" alt="" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1902" height="495" src="https://www.steelintheair.com/Blog/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/Graphic_2.png" width="700" />
</p>
<p>
	One of our clients received a proposal from a tower company that included a revenue share clause. Generally, revenue shares are not proposed by wireless carriers and even less so by tower companies. However, because our client is a governmental entity, I assume the tower company figured it would be better to put a revenue share out for discussion instead of waiting for it to be added.&nbsp;
</p>
<p>
	However, this particular revenue share being proposed is a bit odd. For tenants added in the first 5 years of the lease, the landowner will get $150/mo. per tenant.&nbsp;For tenants added after year 5, the rate drops to $75/mo. For tenants other than AT&amp;T, Verizon, Sprint, or T-Mobile, the rate is $50/mo. no matter when they are added.
</p>
<p>
	There are a number of issues with this proposed revenue share language. First, we generally advise landowners not to accept fixed-rate revenue shares; instead, they should look for a % of revenue. A revenue share is intended to give the landowner participation in the revenue and often comes with a lower base lease rate to accommodate the future upside. A fixed revenue share though does not tie the landowner&rsquo;s upside to that of the tower company- instead, it limits it no matter how much the tower company is getting for the lease. Furthermore, the reduction here from $150/mo. to $75/mo. after year 5 is ridiculous and serves no benefit other than to take advantage of lesser informed landowners.&nbsp;Even worse is the $50/mo. for any other tenant &ndash; which could include tenants that will pay more than traditional cellular tenants and would exclude future entities that enter the business regardless of how much they pay.&nbsp;From the tower company standpoint, having a fixed rate revenue share is much simpler from an accounting standpoint and much more profitable.&nbsp;
</p>
<p>
	This particular proposal won&rsquo;t be accepted by the landowner- who will and can counter with a % based revenue share given the fact that they own pretty much everything around this location. However, in other situations, the landowner may have to accept these types of terms especially if there are other readily available options. The key of course if trying to figure out whether your property is unique or not. If you need help, please contact the experts at Steel in the Air.
</p>
<p>
	For those of you in the industry- have you seen other revenue share proposals that are innovative or outright ridiculous?</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Akron, OH May Sell Water Tower and Cell Tower Ground Leases</title>
		<link>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/akron-oh-may-sell-water-tower-and-cell-tower-ground-leases/</link>
					<comments>https://www.steelintheair.com/blog/akron-oh-may-sell-water-tower-and-cell-tower-ground-leases/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ken Schmidt]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Dec 2017 05:43:46 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Cell Tower Valuation and Brokerage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Counties, Municipalities and Public Entities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lease Buyout Companies in the News]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.steelintheair.com/Blog/?p=1735</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[&#160; The City of Akron has decided to sell its cell tower and water tower leases to Everest Infrastructure Partners. Curious who they are? The founders are previously from Tristar Investors- a company that purchased easements under tower company towers in order to sell them back to the tower companies. I can&#8217;t say whether Everest [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-49585 size-full" src="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/120617_1236_AkronOHMayS1.png" alt="Akron, OH May Sell Water Tower and Cell Tower Ground Leases" width="624" height="368" srcset="https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/120617_1236_AkronOHMayS1.png 624w, https://www.steelintheair.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/120617_1236_AkronOHMayS1-300x177.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 624px) 100vw, 624px" /></p>
<p>The City of Akron has decided to sell its cell tower and water tower leases to Everest Infrastructure Partners. Curious who they are? The founders are previously from Tristar Investors- a company that purchased easements under tower company towers in order to sell them back to the tower companies. I can&#8217;t say whether Everest has the same business model. What is interesting though is that Everest paid a pretty penny for these assets.</p>
<p><span style="color: #5b9bd5;"><strong>Why Cities Should Think Hard Before Selling Leases<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p>Typically, we advise cities against selling their leases because the sale limits the ability of future city councils to use the underlying properties as they see fit. For example, in this case, the City of Akron won&#8217;t be able to tear down these water towers at the end of their life or redevelop the underlying properties where the towers sit. That may not be an issue in this case depending upon the location and age of the properties/water towers. We also advise against selling of leases because the buyout offers for the leases aren&#8217;t nearly as high as what Everest Infrastructure Partners paid here. With this type of multiple of cashflow, this transaction is more like that of a tower acquisition than a traditional lease buyout. That&#8217;s because Everest gets the current and future revenue from these structures and properties that were sold and the City gets none.</p>
<p><span style="color: #5b9bd5;"><strong>But Cities May Not Have a Choice<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p>Of course, there are many cases where cities like Akron don&#8217;t have another immediately accessible source of funding that doesn&#8217;t require raising taxes and must turn to liquidating assets like these cell tower leases. Here the City of Akron was facing a significant cash crunch. We have worked with two other Ohio cities that also ended up selling their leases. In both cases, they evaluated whether the location of the tower or water tower would potentially impact future expansion or development plans. After evaluating the potential sale, they determined that they could live with the future obligations.</p>
<p><span style="color: #5b9bd5; font-size: 12pt;"><strong>The Lease Buyout Market is Back<br />
</strong></span></p>
<p>Another point of interest is that the lease buyout market is getting frothy- we are seeing more entrants and higher offers than at any time in the last few years. For example, we just received a call from a company that had shut its doors and has now found funding to buy leases again. If you are considering <a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/cell-tower-lease-buyouts/">selling your lease</a>, it may make sense to look at doing it now. If you need to know more about lease buyouts- we have a very handy and complete website about the subject- <a href="http://www.celltowerleasebuyout.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener">www.celltowerleasebuyout.com</a>.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.steelintheair.com/contact/">Give us a call</a> and we can help you ascertain the market value of your lease and walk you through the options related to selling.</p>
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